DOLLY NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH…

AT 10 AM CDT…1500 UTC…THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM NORTH OF CORPUS

CHRISTI TO PORT O’CONNOR HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM

WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF

TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI…AND FOR THE NORTHEAST

COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER

BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS

THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND

PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS

CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA

PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY

WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM CDT…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 230

MILES…370 KM…SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A

GENERAL NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE

ENXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR

NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH…110

KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE

LATER TODAY OR WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE

HUNTER PLANE WAS 991 MB…29.26 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8

INCHES…WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES…OVER MUCH OF SOUTH

TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION…24.0 N…94.5 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400

PM CDT.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA