A victory by the Atlanta Falcons over the Kansas City Chiefs is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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With 386 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chiefs have been forced to lean on their 15th-ranked offense (319.5 yards per contest) to keep them in games. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL (16 points per game), and they are 11th on the other side of the ball (19.5 points allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 41.7% chance to win.
• Atlanta has covered once in two games with a spread this year.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• So far this season, no Atlanta game has hit the over.
• The over/under for this game is two points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (44.5).

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have a 62.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Kansas City has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 3 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• All Kansas City games have gone over the point total this season.
• Chiefs games average 47 total points per game this season, 0.5 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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