Based on our computer model, the Denver Broncos will defeat the Atlanta Falcons when they meet at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Nov. 17 (at 4:05 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Broncos rank 22nd in points scored this year (19.7 points per game), but they’ve been playing really well on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 17.7 points allowed per game. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 13th in the NFL (23.8 points per game), and they are 20th defensively (23.6 points allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 2 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• In 2024, four Atlanta games have gone over the point total.
• The average total points scored in Falcons games (playoffs included) this year (44.5) is two points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

• The Broncos have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Denver has covered the spread seven times in 10 games this season.
• The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2-point favorites in three of three games this season.
• So far this season, six of Denver’s 10 games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season (playoffs included).

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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

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