SMU vs. Alabama State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 3

Published 1:38 am Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Tuesday’s game between the SMU Mustangs (6-2) and the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) at Moody Coliseum has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 86-70 and heavily favors SMU to secure the victory. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on December 3.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State should cover the spread, which currently sits at 19.5. The two teams are projected to go under the 156.5 over/under.

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SMU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network Extra
  • Where: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: Moody Coliseum
  • Line: SMU -19.5
  • Point total: 156.5
  • Moneyline (to win): SMU -5000, Alabama State +1500

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SMU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    SMU 86, Alabama State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Alabama State

  • Pick ATS: Alabama State (+19.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (156.5)

SMU is 3-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Alabama State’s 3-2-0 ATS record. A total of six out of the Mustangs’ games this season have gone over the point total, and three of the Hornets’ games have gone over. The two teams score 165.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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SMU Performance Insights

  • The Mustangs have a +120 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.0 points per game. They’re putting up 86.8 points per game to rank 19th in college basketball and are allowing 71.8 per outing to rank 198th in college basketball.
  • The 37.4 rebounds per game SMU averages rank 42nd in the country, and are 9.5 more than the 27.9 its opponents record per outing.
  • SMU hits 8.1 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.3 on average.
  • The Mustangs put up 104.8 points per 100 possessions (42nd in college basketball), while giving up 86.7 points per 100 possessions (116th in college basketball).
  • SMU has committed 1.5 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11.4 (167th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.9 (137th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

  • The Hornets score 79.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) and give up 78.1 (319th in college basketball) for a +7 scoring differential overall.
  • Alabama State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It grabs 31.4 rebounds per game (261st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.7.
  • Alabama State makes 9.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.4. It shoots 34.4% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.9%.
  • Alabama State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 9.7 (45th in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (224th in college basketball).

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