Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Sunday Night Football Week 17
Published 7:37 pm Saturday, December 28, 2024
The Washington Commanders will face the Atlanta Falcons at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Commanders will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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On offense, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by averaging 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 17th in the NFL (21.8 points per game), and they are 20th on the other side of the ball (23.3 points allowed per game).
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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Commanders (-3.5) | Over (46.5) | Commanders 29, Falcons 20 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 39.2%.
- Atlanta is 6-8-1 ATS this season.
- The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- Atlanta and its opponent have combined to hit the over five out of 15 times this year.
- Falcons games average 46 total points, 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Commanders Betting Info
- The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.5% in this matchup.
- Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
- The Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
- Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over 10 out of 15 times this season.
- The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Commanders games this season (postseason included).
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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | 28.8 | 23.2 | 30.5 | 20.9 | 26.9 | 25.9 |
| Falcons | 21.8 | 23.3 | 22.1 | 21.6 | 21.4 | 25.1 |
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