Saturday’s contest at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) matching up with the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at 4:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 79-67 victory, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State should cover the spread, which currently sits at 22.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 140.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -22.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2500

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

Alabama State’s record against the spread this season is 5-6-0, and Mississippi Valley State’s is 3-8-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams score 127.5 points per game combined, 13 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its past 10 games, while Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 5.1 points per game with a -66 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.3 points per game (161st in college basketball) and allow 81.4 per outing (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama State records 30.7 rebounds per game (296th in college basketball) while allowing 38.3 per outing to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 7.6 boards per game.
• Alabama State makes 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball) at a 33.8% rate (188th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 per game its opponents make at a 34.9% rate.
• The Hornets’ 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 238th in college basketball, and the 100 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 345th in college basketball.
• Alabama State has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (16th in college basketball play), 2.2 fewer than the 11.4 it forces on average (224th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils’ -449 scoring differential (being outscored by 34.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball) while giving up 85.7 per outing (360th in college basketball).
• Mississippi Valley State grabs 23.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball) while allowing 33.8 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 10.0 boards per game.
• Mississippi Valley State makes 3.8 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball), 6.0 fewer than its opponents.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 15.8 turnovers per game (359th in college basketball), six more than the 9.8 it forces (332nd in college basketball).

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