Monday’s game that pits the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) versus the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 87-74 in favor of Alabama State, who is heavily favored by our model. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 6.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB is projected to cover the spread (15.5) against Alabama State. The two teams are projected to go under the 163.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State has a 6-6-0 record against the spread this season compared to UAPB, who is 5-7-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Hornets are 6-6-0 and the Golden Lions are 9-3-0. The teams score 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its past 10 games, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 2.6 points per game with a -37 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.9 points per game (143rd in college basketball) and allow 79.5 per outing (340th in college basketball).
• Alabama State averages 30.6 rebounds per game (295th in college basketball) while allowing 37.4 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 6.8 boards per game.
• Alabama State knocks down 9.6 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (153rd in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 per game its opponents make at a 33.8% rate.
• The Hornets average 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (211th in college basketball), and give up 98.1 points per 100 possessions (325th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 2.5 turnovers per game, committing 9.1 (10th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.6 (206th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions put up 75 points per game (196th in college basketball) while giving up 92.6 per outing (364th in college basketball). They have a -247 scoring differential and have been outscored by 17.6 points per game.
• UAPB loses the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It pulls down 29.6 rebounds per game (321st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.
• UAPB knocks down 2.7 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 7.9 (177th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 10.6.
• UAPB has come up short in the turnover battle by 4.4 per game, committing 15.9 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (217th in college basketball).

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