Saturday’s game between the Jackson State Tigers (1-13, 1-0 SWAC) and Alabama State Hornets (6-9, 2-0 SWAC) squaring off at Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center has a projected final score of 78-73 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Jackson State, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 4:30 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Jackson State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 3.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 145.5 total.

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Jackson, Mississippi
• Venue: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
• Line: Jackson State -3.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Jackson State -184, Alabama State +148

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Jackson State 78, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Jackson State vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Jackson State (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Jackson State has a 7-7-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Alabama State, who is 6-7-0 ATS. The Tigers have a 5-9-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Hornets have a record of 7-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 139.8 points per game combined, 5.7 less than this matchup’s over/under. Jackson State is 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its past 10 contests, while Alabama State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Jackson State Performance Insights

• The Tigers average 61.9 points per game (359th in college basketball) while allowing 82.3 per contest (356th in college basketball). They have a -285 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 20.4 points per game.
• Jackson State pulls down 30.9 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) while conceding 38 per outing to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 7.1 boards per game.
• Jackson State makes 6.3 three-pointers per game (312th in college basketball), 4.3 fewer than its opponents (10.6). It is shooting 29.1% from beyond the arc (342nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 38.4%.
• The Tigers rank 361st in college basketball with 76.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 351st in college basketball defensively with 101.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Jackson State has committed 14.5 turnovers per game (345th in college basketball action), 1.7 more than the 12.8 it forces on average (119th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets’ -35 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 77.9 points per game (112th in college basketball) while giving up 80.3 per contest (343rd in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 6.6 boards on average. It collects 30.3 rebounds per game, 302nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.9.
• Alabama State knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 34.8% from beyond the arc (131st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 35%.
• Alabama State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.1 per game (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (206th in college basketball).

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