Troy vs. UL Monroe Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 15

Published 9:38 pm Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Wednesday’s contest at Fant-Ewing Coliseum has the Troy Trojans (10-6, 3-2 Sun Belt) matching up with the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-14, 0-5 Sun Belt) at 7:30 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 76-65 win, as our model heavily favors Troy.

Based on our computer prediction, UL Monroe projects to cover the 12.5-point spread in its matchup versus Troy. The over/under has been set at 135.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Monroe, Louisiana
  • Venue: Fant-Ewing Coliseum
  • Line: Troy -12.5
  • Point total: 135.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -752, UL Monroe +490

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 76, UL Monroe 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. UL Monroe

  • Pick ATS: UL Monroe (+12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (135.5)

Troy has an 8-6-0 record against the spread this season compared to UL Monroe, who is 5-11-0 ATS. The Trojans have a 7-7-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Warhawks have a record of 7-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 145.4 points per game, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in the past 10 contests. UL Monroe has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans’ +110 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.9 points per game (217th in college basketball) while allowing 67.1 per contest (65th in college basketball).
  • Troy wins the rebound battle by 5.8 boards on average. It records 33.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 113th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28 per contest.
  • Troy knocks down 6.9 three-pointers per game (260th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 29.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.2% from long range.
  • The Trojans score 94 points per 100 possessions (226th in college basketball), while allowing 85.2 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
  • Troy has committed 14.5 turnovers per game (347th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.6 (59th in college basketball).

UL Monroe Performance Insights

  • The Warhawks put up 71.5 points per game (268th in college basketball) while allowing 73.8 per contest (251st in college basketball). They have a -41 scoring differential and have been outscored by 2.3 points per game.
  • UL Monroe pulls down 34.6 rebounds per game (83rd in college basketball) while conceding 32.2 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
  • UL Monroe makes 7.1 three-pointers per game (246th in college basketball) at a 33.1% rate (217th in college basketball), compared to the 8.7 per contest its opponents make, shooting 32% from beyond the arc.
  • UL Monroe and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Warhawks commit 12.3 per game (262nd in college basketball) and force 12.4 (143rd in college basketball).

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