Saturday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) and South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) squaring off at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 69-67 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 4.5. The two sides are projected to exceed the 131.5 total.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -4.5
• Point total: 131.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -194, South Alabama +156

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Troy has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season, while South Alabama is 11-6-0. The Trojans have a 7-9-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Jaguars have a record of 6-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 147.4 points per game, 15.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +128 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.5 points per game (217th in college basketball) while allowing 66.4 per outing (50th in college basketball).
• Troy prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.6 boards. It is pulling down 34.7 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per outing.
• Troy connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans record 93.5 points per 100 possessions (232nd in college basketball), while allowing 84.4 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 13.3 turnovers per game (64th in college basketball) while committing 14.3 (345th in college basketball play).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars are outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game, with a +234 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.9 points per game (209th in college basketball) and give up 61.6 per contest (ninth in college basketball).
• South Alabama loses the rebound battle by an average of 1.5 boards. It pulls down 30.8 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.3.
• South Alabama hits 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 34.6% rate (137th in college basketball), compared to the 11 per outing its opponents make, shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc.
• South Alabama has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 8.4 per game (first in college basketball) while forcing 13.2 (72nd in college basketball).

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