Monday’s game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (8-11, 4-2 SWAC) taking on the Texas Southern Tigers (8-11, 5-1 SWAC) at 8:30 PM ET (on January 27). Our computer prediction projects a close 76-74 win for Alabama State, so it should be a tight matchup.

According to our computer prediction, Texas Southern should cover the point spread, which currently sits at 2.5. The two sides are projected to exceed the 145.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -2.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -144, Texas Southern +118

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Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 76, Texas Southern 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Texas Southern

• Pick ATS: Texas Southern (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Alabama State has a 6-11-0 record against the spread this season compared to Texas Southern, who is 6-10-0 ATS. The Hornets have an 8-9-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Tigers have a record of 8-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 148.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Alabama State has a 3-7 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Texas Southern has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by two points per game (scoring 75.7 points per game to rank 157th in college basketball while allowing 77.7 per outing to rank 321st in college basketball) and have a -37 scoring differential overall.
• The 31.4 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 243rd in the nation, and are 4.8 fewer than the 36.2 its opponents pull down per contest.
• Alabama State makes 9.2 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3. It shoots 33.2% from deep while its opponents hit 34.4% from long range.
• The Hornets put up 94.8 points per 100 possessions (202nd in college basketball), while giving up 97.2 points per 100 possessions (304th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 9.1 per game (eighth in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (190th in college basketball).

Texas Southern Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a -75 scoring differential, falling short by 3.9 points per game. They’re putting up 73 points per game, 227th in college basketball, and are giving up 76.9 per outing to rank 308th in college basketball.
• The 31.7 rebounds per game Texas Southern accumulates rank 228th in college basketball, 3.9 fewer than the 35.6 its opponents record.
• Texas Southern knocks down 3.2 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.8 (275th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 10.
• Texas Southern has committed 12.8 turnovers per game (302nd in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than the 13.9 it forces (41st in college basketball).

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