Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 27
Published 1:38 pm Sunday, January 26, 2025
Monday’s contest at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (12-7, 5-3 Sun Belt) taking on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9-11, 4-4 Sun Belt) at 6:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 78-65 victory, as our model heavily favors Troy.
According to our computer prediction, the Troy versus Southern Miss matchup has a predicted spread that matches the actual spread (12.5). The two sides are projected to eclipse the 141.5 over/under.
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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds
- Date: Monday, January 27, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Troy, Alabama
- Venue: Trojan Arena
- Line: Troy -12.5
- Point total: 141.5
- Moneyline (to win): Troy -877, Southern Miss +580
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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Troy 78, Southern Miss 65
Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss
- Pick ATS: Pick Em
- Pick OU: Over (141.5)
Troy is 11-6-0 against the spread this season compared to Southern Miss’ 10-8-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 7-10-0 and the Golden Eagles are 7-11-0. The teams score 146.5 points per game, five more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over the last 10 games. Southern Miss has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 contests.
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Troy Performance Insights
- The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game (scoring 73.1 points per game to rank 223rd in college basketball while allowing 65.8 per outing to rank 42nd in college basketball) and have a +138 scoring differential overall.
- Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It is collecting 34.8 rebounds per game (65th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.4 per contest.
- Troy knocks down 7.5 three-pointers per game (206th in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (337th in college basketball), compared to the 7 its opponents make while shooting 33.2% from deep.
- The Trojans’ 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 244th in college basketball, and the 83.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 21st in college basketball.
- Troy has committed 14.2 turnovers per game (342nd in college basketball play) while forcing 13.4 (56th in college basketball).
Southern Miss Performance Insights
- The Golden Eagles have a -53 scoring differential, falling short by 2.7 points per game. They’re putting up 73.4 points per game, 213th in college basketball, and are allowing 76.1 per contest to rank 299th in college basketball.
- Southern Miss prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It grabs 34.4 rebounds per game (82nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5.
- Southern Miss knocks down 7.1 three-pointers per game (245th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.4 on average.
- Southern Miss has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 13.8 per game (337th in college basketball) while forcing 11 (245th in college basketball).
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