Saturday’s contest that pits the Troy Trojans (14-7, 7-3 Sun Belt) against the UL Monroe Warhawks (6-17, 2-8 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena should be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 77-61 in favor of Troy, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 4:33 PM ET on February 1.

According to our computer prediction, UL Monroe projects to cover the 16.5-point spread in its matchup against Troy. The over/under is listed at 139.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 4:33 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -16.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -2222, UL Monroe +980

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 77, UL Monroe 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Pick ATS: UL Monroe (+16.5)
• Pick OU: Under (139.5)

Troy has compiled an 11-8-0 record against the spread this season, while UL Monroe is 8-13-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 8-11-0 and the Warhawks are 8-13-0. The teams score an average of 143 points per game, 3.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the last 10 contests. UL Monroe has gone 5-5 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game (scoring 73.3 points per game to rank 220th in college basketball while giving up 66 per contest to rank 40th in college basketball) and have a +154 scoring differential overall.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by 5.9 boards on average. It collects 34.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 62nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.8 per outing.
• Troy knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1. It shoots 29.8% from deep while its opponents hit 33.2% from long range.
• The Trojans rank 237th in college basketball by averaging 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 20th in college basketball, allowing 84 points per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 14 turnovers per game (342nd in college basketball action) while forcing 13.5 (51st in college basketball).

UL Monroe Performance Insights

• The Warhawks’ -58 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 69.7 points per game (290th in college basketball) while allowing 72.2 per outing (206th in college basketball).
• UL Monroe records 34.4 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) while allowing 33.2 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.2 boards per game.
• UL Monroe knocks down 7.1 three-pointers per game (246th in college basketball), 1.6 fewer than its opponents.
• UL Monroe forces 12.1 turnovers per game (146th in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (182nd in college basketball).

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