Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
According to our computer model, the New Orleans Saints will beat the Atlanta Falcons when they meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.
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The Falcons are averaging 307.3 yards per game on offense this year (20th in NFL), and they are allowing 326.7 yards per game (18th) on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of total yards, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st on the other side of the ball (335.3 total yards allowed per game).
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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The Falcons have a 60.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- Falcons games have had an average of 45.2 points this season, 4.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three matchups with a spread this season.
- The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- New Orleans games have gone over the point total twice this season.
- The average total points scored in Saints games (playoffs included) this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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