Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the Atlanta Falcons when they meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons rank 19th in the NFL with 309.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 19th in total defense (336.5 yards allowed per contest). The Buccaneers rank 16th with 319 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 18th with 335.3 total yards surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) Under (44) Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 55.6% in this matchup.
  • Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
  • So far this season, just one Atlanta game has gone over the point total.
  • The average total for Falcons games this season (playoffs included) has been 44.3, 0.3 points higher than the total for this game.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.
  • Tampa Bay has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Buccaneers have won their only game this year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, two Tampa Bay games have hit the over.
  • The average total points scored in Buccaneers games (postseason included) this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.8 21.3 17.7 21.3 22 21
Buccaneers 24.3 19.5 25.7 20.7 20 16

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