Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Troy vs. Arkansas State Game – Saturday, Oct. 26

Published 8:24 pm Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Sun Belt opponents will clash when the Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) meet the Troy Trojans (1-6). Keep reading for a look at the odds and best bets for this matchup.

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When and Where is Troy vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 29, Troy 20
  • Arkansas State is -292 on the moneyline, and Troy is +230.
  • Arkansas State has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
  • The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -292 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Troy has been listed as the underdog four times this season and has failed to win any of those games.
  • The Trojans have been at least a +230 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Red Wolves’ implied win probability is 74.5%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (-7.5)

  • Arkansas State has played six games, posting three wins against the spread.
  • The Red Wolves have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.
  • Troy has two wins versus the spread in seven games this season.
  • This year, the Trojans have just one against the spread win in four games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (50.5)
  • This season, three of Arkansas State’s seven games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 50.5 points.
  • This season, four of Troy’s games have finished with a combined score higher than 50.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 41.6 points per game, 8.9 points fewer than the over/under of 50.5 for this game.

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Key Stats Splits

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 64 55.6
Implied Total AVG 35.5 35 35.8
ATS Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 0-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 49.1 49.8
Implied Total AVG 32 31 33.3
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

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