Troy vs. UTSA Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 25

Published 9:38 pm Sunday, November 24, 2024

Monday’s contest at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (3-2) taking on the UTSA Roadrunners (1-2) at 8:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 82-63 win, as our model heavily favors Troy.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus UTSA. The over/under is listed at 148.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Troy vs. UTSA Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 25, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -11.5
  • Point total: 148.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -699, UTSA +470

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Troy vs. UTSA Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 82, UTSA 63

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. UTSA

  • Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (148.5)

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game with a +9 scoring differential overall. They put up 71.2 points per game (272nd in college basketball) and give up 69.4 per outing (145th in college basketball).
  • Troy averages 34 rebounds per game (166th in college basketball) while allowing 29.4 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.6 boards per game.
  • Troy connects on 6 three-pointers per game (318th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.6. It shoots 26.1% from deep while its opponents hit 29.5% from long range.
  • The Trojans average 86.5 points per 100 possessions (314th in college basketball), while giving up 84.3 points per 100 possessions (110th in college basketball).
  • Troy has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 16.6 per game (354th in college basketball play) while forcing 14 (93rd in college basketball).

UTSA Performance Insights

  • UTSA was ranked 70th in college basketball offensively last year with 77.6 points per game, while defensively it was fourth-worst (81 points allowed per game).
  • The Roadrunners were top-25 last season in rebounding, ranking 11th-best in college basketball with 36.9 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, they ranked 324th with 34.7 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • UTSA ranked 117th in the nation with 13.9 dimes per contest.
  • The Roadrunners, who ranked 114th in college basketball with 10.6 turnovers per game, forced 9 turnovers per contest, which was 14th-worst in the country.
  • The Roadrunners owned a 33.7% three-point percentage last year (199th-ranked in college basketball), but they really provided a lift by sinking 9.7 threes per contest (18th-best).
  • UTSA ranked 19th-worst in college basketball with a 36.8% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land. Meanwhile, it allowed 8.8 treys per game (331st-ranked in college basketball).
  • When it comes to shot breakdown, UTSA took 54.8% two-pointers (accounting for 62.8% of the team’s buckets) and 45.2% threes (37.2%).

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