Troy vs. Merrimack Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 29

Published 9:38 pm Thursday, November 28, 2024

Friday’s game between the Troy Trojans (4-2) and Merrimack Warriors (1-6) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 75-62 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Troy, so it should be a one-sided matchup. The game will begin at 2:00 PM ET on November 29.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (11.5) against Merrimack. The two teams are projected to go under the 136.5 total.

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Troy vs. Merrimack Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 29, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -11.5
  • Point total: 136.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -599, Merrimack +420

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Troy vs. Merrimack Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 75, Merrimack 62

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Merrimack

  • Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (136.5)

Troy has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season, while Merrimack is 2-5-0. A total of three out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and three of the Warriors’ games have gone over. The two teams average 132.8 points per game combined, 3.7 fewer than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game with a +23 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) and give up 69.8 per outing (155th in college basketball).
  • Troy wins the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. It records 32.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 222nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.7 per contest.
  • Troy connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 30.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.3% from long range.
  • The Trojans score 90.2 points per 100 possessions (279th in college basketball), while giving up 85.5 points per 100 possessions (107th in college basketball).
  • Troy has committed 1.3 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 16.3 (357th in college basketball play) while forcing 15 (47th in college basketball).

Merrimack Performance Insights

  • The Warriors have been outscored by 11.0 points per game (posting 59.1 points per game, 356th in college basketball, while allowing 70.1 per outing, 159th in college basketball) and have a -77 scoring differential.
  • Merrimack loses the rebound battle by 12.6 boards on average. It records 27.7 rebounds per game, 345th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 40.3.
  • Merrimack makes 4.9 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball) while shooting 22.7% from deep (361st in college basketball). It is making 3.1 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 8 per game at 35%.
  • Merrimack wins the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.7 (111th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.1.

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