Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 28

Published 8:16 pm Friday, December 27, 2024

Southeast Division foes meet when the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.3
  • The Hawks have covered the spread less often than the Heat this season, sporting an ATS record of 13-18-0, as opposed to the 14-14-0 record of the Heat.
  • Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the over/under in 2024-25, Atlanta does it better (64.5% of the time) than Miami (53.6%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Hawks are 7-7, a better tally than the Heat have recorded (4-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks’ offense, which ranks eighth in the league with 117.2 points per game, has played better than their fourth-worst defense (119.5 points allowed per game).
  • Atlanta ranks fourth-best in the NBA by grabbing 46 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 17th in the league (44 allowed per contest).
  • The Hawks have been tallying plenty of assists in 2024-25, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.7 assists per contest.
  • Atlanta has struggled in terms of turnovers this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 15.8 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks fifth-best in the league with 15.9 forced turnovers per game.
  • The Hawks are making 12.6 threes per game (20th-ranked in NBA) this year, while owning a 35.1% three-point percentage (18th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Heat are 19th in the NBA on offense (111.3 points scored per game) and sixth defensively (108.6 points allowed).
  • Miami grabs 43.3 rebounds per game and give up 45.2 boards, ranking 19th and 24th, respectively, in the NBA.
  • The Heat are 14th in the league in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is fourth-best in the league in turnovers committed (12.5 per game) and ranked 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
  • The Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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