Thursday’s game between the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) squaring off at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 73-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on January 9.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the spread, which currently sits at 6.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 134.5 total.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy is 8-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 7-6-0 ATS record. A total of five out of the Trojans’ games this season have hit the over, and seven of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The two teams average 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests, while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per contest (48th in college basketball). They have a +117 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.3 points per game.
• Troy prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.7 boards. It is recording 34.6 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.9 per outing.
• Troy connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball) at a 28.6% rate (347th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make while shooting 32.3% from deep.
• The Trojans average 93 points per 100 possessions on offense (249th in college basketball), and give up 82.5 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 14 turnovers per game (49th in college basketball) while committing 14.7 (346th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats outscore opponents by 6.6 points per game (posting 75.5 points per game, 178th in college basketball, and giving up 68.9 per contest, 117th in college basketball) and have a +99 scoring differential.
• Texas State ranks 172nd in college basketball at 33.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 more than the 28 its opponents average.
• Texas State hits 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 1.8 fewer than its opponents.
• Texas State forces 11.4 turnovers per game (225th in college basketball) while committing 11.3 (160th in college basketball).

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