DOLLY MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF…

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO

NORTHWARD…ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED

STATES…AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O’CONNOR. A HURRICANE

WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH

AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA

PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO…AND FOR THE TEXAS

COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O’CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL

STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE

WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 100 PM CDT…1800 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT…1800Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 475

MILES…765 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO

GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR. A

GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT

COUPLE OF DAYS…WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION. ON

THIS TRACK…DOLLY WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE WESTERN

GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST…AND DOLLY COULD BECOME A

HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS

1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR

INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH

ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION…22.8 N…90.4 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

400 PM CDT.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB